MWITA-AGC-2026-009 · Evidence B · P1
Population-scale measurement found that raw x402 settlement count substantially overstated independently evidenced commerce adoption.
What this does not establish
On-chain settlement does not identify autonomous agent control, human delegation, unique buyers or consumer shopping.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
The study directly contradicts interpreting headline protocol transaction counts as independent adoption.
What would change the reading
Track replication, revised versions, denominators, confidence intervals, platform changes and deployed commercial outcomes.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.