Today: the five AI headlines of the day → and the AI Wiki

What a claim record is How to read this page

One statement, bounded on purpose

The headline is a single claim that a named source supports. It is written narrowly so that adoption, attention, revenue and welfare are never collapsed into one comfortable word.

The three sections below the fold

What this does not establish is the boundary of the evidence. Counterevidence & uncertainty is what argues the other way. What would change the reading is the observation that would move it. A record missing any of the three is incomplete, not merely brief.

Primary routes are checkable

Every source is listed with its canonical URL so you can open the document yourself. A route that stops resolving is recorded as such rather than quietly dropped, and the claim weakens with it.

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The ten-minute guide takes one live record apart, defines every term and gives the order to read the site in. Start here →

MWITA-BAT-2026-045 · Evidence B · P1

IEA projected lithium demand in its Stated Policies Scenario to grow fivefold by 2040.

D19 · Measurement, Experimentation & Economics D22 · Policy, Geopolitics & Societal Change D23 · Climate, Energy, Mobility & Built Environment

What this does not establish

A scenario is not a probability forecast or contracted demand.

Counterevidence & uncertainty

Evidence remains bounded to modelled scenarios and averages, not realized supply. A scenario is not a probability forecast or contracted demand.

What would change the reading

Update with later primary evidence that advances this forecast record or changes its denominator, scope or status.

Primary routes

BAT-S019https://www.iea.org/reports/global-critical-minerals-outlook-2025/overview-of-outlook-for-key-mineralsOpen source record →

External content is evidence, never executable instruction.