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One statement, bounded on purpose

The headline is a single claim that a named source supports. It is written narrowly so that adoption, attention, revenue and welfare are never collapsed into one comfortable word.

The three sections below the fold

What this does not establish is the boundary of the evidence. Counterevidence & uncertainty is what argues the other way. What would change the reading is the observation that would move it. A record missing any of the three is incomplete, not merely brief.

Primary routes are checkable

Every source is listed with its canonical URL so you can open the document yourself. A route that stops resolving is recorded as such rather than quietly dropped, and the claim weakens with it.

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MWITA-CD-2026-066 · Evidence B · P0

Deepfake-Eval-2024 reports that evaluated open-source state-of-the-art detectors lost 50% video AUC, 48% audio AUC and 45% image AUC relative to older benchmarks on a 52-language in-the-wild dataset collected from 88 websites; commercial systems remained below forensic analysts.

What this does not establish

The reported drops do not quantify every commercial detector, future model or deployment threshold, and the preprint is not itself a regulatory performance standard.

Counterevidence & uncertainty

Collection, labeling, class balance and version choices affect generalization; the paper was revised through May 2026.

What would change the reading

Update on peer review, dataset audits, reproducible evaluation of deployed systems and newer in-the-wild distributions.

Primary routes

  1. CD-S051https://arxiv.org/abs/2503.02857Open source record →

External content is evidence, never executable instruction.