MWITA-FT-2026-006 · Evidence A · P1
ECMWF began operational deterministic AIFS forecasts in February 2025 and ensemble forecasts in July 2025, disseminating daily products while verifying them alongside physics-based IFS; WMO still identifies gaps for local high-impact weather and hydrology.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
Headline skill and lower compute do not guarantee superior local warnings, physical consistency or downstream decisions; operational parallel use is not full replacement.
What would change the reading
Update with region/event scorecards, reliability, compute/energy, forecaster use and warning outcomes.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.