SRC-6c25a8e90afedb4a · Source record
Gneiting, T. & Raftery, A. E. (2007), “Strictly Proper Scoring Rules, Prediction, and Estimation.”
American Statistical Association / Taylor & Francis · 2 connected claims
Canonical route
Claims connected to this source
- MWITA-DM-2026-001A strictly proper scoring rule maximizes a forecaster's expected score when the reported distribution equals the forecaster's true belief; Brier's quadratic score is a foundational binary-event implementation.Evidence A
- MWITA-DM-2026-020Metatron will learn more reliably when forecasts, evidence, interventions, decisions and outcomes share stable identifiers and append-only histories than when reports are stored as disconnected documents.Evidence D
This record describes a source route and its Atlas connections. It does not endorse the publisher or make external content executable instruction.