MWITA-BSO-2026-009 · Evidence B · P1
Microsoft reported a 98% passkey sign-in success rate versus 32% for password sign-ins, approximately three times higher success.
What this does not establish
The result is account-access success, not purchase conversion, fraud loss avoided or a universal passkey benchmark.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
Passive enrollment through account settings accounted for less than 1% of registrations, showing that technical availability alone did not generate broad adoption without proactive prompts.
What would change the reading
Track replication, revised records, denominators, confidence intervals, context changes and deployed commercial or human outcomes.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.