MWITA-PE-2026-005 · Evidence A · P1
In 2023, 29.9% of nonresident purchases in Portugal were in the Algarve; nonresidents were 8% of transactions but 13% of value, with €343,000 versus €194,000 mean purchase value.
What this does not establish
Nonresident purchases do not alone explain Algarve affordability.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
Nonresident purchases do not alone explain Algarve affordability.
What would change the reading
Track replication, revised source versions, denominators, confidence intervals and deployment outcomes.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.