MWITA-RL-2026-008 · Evidence A · P1
Bank Indonesia reported 3.93 billion digital-payment transactions in May 2025, up 27.88% year over year, while QRIS transaction volume grew 151.70% year over year.
What this does not establish
Transaction growth is not unique-user growth, merchant welfare, lower prices or productivity.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
Base effects and changing instrument mix can amplify growth rates.
What would change the reading
Update with annual cohorts, merchant economics, costs, outages and fraud.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.