MWITA-WO-2026-014 · Evidence B · P1
Stanford's revised ADP payroll analysis found no widespread economy-wide displacement but estimated employment of ages 22–25 in AI-exposed occupations 19% below a less-exposed-peer counterfactual by June 2026.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
Exposure is not observed tool adoption; counterfactual and concurrent shocks limit causal attribution.
What would change the reading
Update with later payroll data, alternate exposure measures and firm-level adoption links.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.