MWITA-MIO-2026-011 · Evidence A · P1
Bing experiments showed brand ads without competitors increased focal-brand clicks only 1%-4%; competitors in positions 2-4 diverted 1%-5% when the focal ad remained, while competitors could take 18%-42% when a nonadvertising focal brand faced competition.
What this does not establish
The 18%-42% estimate is not from fully randomized removal of focal ads, and experimental effects apply to brands already advertising on Bing during the study window.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
eBay-like near-zero own-brand lift is not universal: competitive auction context and brand familiarity materially change incremental value and defensive ROI.
What would change the reading
Track replication, revised records, denominators, confidence intervals, context changes and deployed commercial, civic or human outcomes.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.