MWITA-ELO-2026-002 · Evidence A · P1
Two randomized German field experiments did not reproduce a benefit from first-name subject-line personalization among students: detected opens were 3.2% lower and clicks similar, both nonsignificant; title-plus-surname personalization among politicians raised opens 11.8% significantly while its 14% click lift was nonsignificant.
What this does not establish
The two audiences, forms of address and calls to action differ, so the study does not isolate novelty, formality, age or surname use as a general mechanism; it measures opens/clicks/unsubscribes, not sales, revenue or durable retention.
Counterevidence & uncertainty
The student null/negative result directly fails to replicate the first-name benefit in W68-EL-001, while the politician result shows that one different personalized cue can still affect opens.
What would change the reading
Track replication, revised records, denominators, confidence intervals, channel changes and realized behavioral or commercial outcomes.
Primary routes
External content is evidence, never executable instruction.