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What a claim record is How to read this page

One statement, bounded on purpose

The headline is a single claim that a named source supports. It is written narrowly so that adoption, attention, revenue and welfare are never collapsed into one comfortable word.

The three sections below the fold

What this does not establish is the boundary of the evidence. Counterevidence & uncertainty is what argues the other way. What would change the reading is the observation that would move it. A record missing any of the three is incomplete, not merely brief.

Primary routes are checkable

Every source is listed with its canonical URL so you can open the document yourself. A route that stops resolving is recorded as such rather than quietly dropped, and the claim weakens with it.

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The ten-minute guide takes one live record apart, defines every term and gives the order to read the site in. Start here →

MWITA-PCR-2026-009 · Evidence B · P1

Both traditional and social earned media predicted microlending ‘sales’; a traditional mention had the larger per-event effect, but social earned media had the larger elasticity after its much higher event frequency was incorporated and also preceded traditional coverage.

What this does not establish

Temporal controls do not randomize earned coverage; results from one mission-driven marketplace and loans treated as sales do not identify causal ROI for commercial brands, PR spend, sentiment, search or stock value.

Counterevidence & uncertainty

Per-mention impact and aggregate elasticity ranked channels differently, so media value depends on both effect per event and attainable event frequency.

What would change the reading

Track replication, revised records, denominators, confidence intervals, channel changes and realized behavioral or commercial outcomes.

Primary routes

  1. PCR-S009https://doi.org/10.1509/jmr.09.0401Open source record →

External content is evidence, never executable instruction.